As the eyes of the world rivet on the World Court amid South Africa’s genocide case against Israel, I’m thrilled to unveil a Working Paper I just uploaded to SSRN. Utilizing various statistical modelling methods and sifting through every vote from 1974 to 2023, its findings are revealing and thought-provoking. ICJ judges tend to disagree along the same lines as their home countries in the UN General Assembly while latent geopolitical preferences inferred from voting patterns in the Assembly constitute robust predictors of how litigants are likely to fare before the Court.